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Journal of Neuroinflammation

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Neuroinflammation's content profile, based on 50 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Comprehensive Immunophenotyping of Monocytes and Dendritic Cells Suggests Distinct Pathophysiology in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and Long COVID

Petrov, S. I.; Bozhkova, M.; Ivanovska, M.; Kalfova, T.; Dudova, D.; Todorova, Y.; Dimitrova, R.; Murdjeva, M.; Taskov, H.; Nikolova, M.; Maes, M.

2026-04-12 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350613 medRxiv
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Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) and long COVID are complex chronic conditions that often follow infectious triggers with overlapping clinical features but poorly defined pathophysiological relationships. This study aimed to identify disease-specific immune signatures through multiparameter immunophenotyping of monocytes, dendritic cells, and T-cell subsets. A total of 207 participants were included (ME/CFS: n = 103; long COVID: n = 63; healthy controls: n = 41). Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were analyzed using multiparameter flow cytometry. Statistical analyses included non-parametric testing, age-adjusted ANCOVA, correlation network analysis, and principal component analysis (PCA). Long COVID was characterized by increased M2-like monocyte polarization, elevated CD80 expression across monocyte subsets, expansion of dendritic cells, and reduced expression of activation markers, indicating persistent immune activation with features of immune exhaustion. In contrast, ME/CFS exhibited reduced costimulatory molecule expression, impaired CCR7-mediated immune cell trafficking, and less coordinated activation patterns, consistent with a state of immune suppression. Correlation network analysis revealed more extensive and integrated immune interactions in long COVID, while PCA identified distinct immunophenotypic components and enabled moderate discrimination between the two conditions. These findings demonstrate that ME/CFS and long COVID are characterized by distinct immune profiles, supporting the concept of divergent immunopathological mechanisms. The identified signatures may contribute to biomarker development and guide targeted therapeutic approaches.

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Neurochemical and genetic organization of head impact effects on cortical neurophysiology

Yu, K. C.; Flashman, L. A.; Davenport, E. M.; Urban, J. E.; Nagarajan, S. S.; ODonovan, C. A.; Solingapuram Sai, K. K.; Stitzel, J. D.; Maldjian, J. A.; Wiesman, A. I.; Whitlow, C. T.

2026-04-13 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350342 medRxiv
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PurposePrevious research has demonstrated effects of head impact exposure on cortical neurophysiology, which may help with understanding variability in clinical sequelae. In separate lines of research, neurochemical and gene transcription markers of vulnerability to traumatic brain injury (TBI) have been established. The purpose of this study was to examine whether these cortical neurochemical and gene transcription gradients are spatially aligned with neurophysiological effects. Methods and MaterialsMagnetoencephalography (MEG) data was collected at a total of 278 pre- and post-season timepoints from 91 high school football players across up to four seasons of play. Of the 91 football players, 10 experienced a concussion, and of the remaining 81 non-concussed players, 71 met the criteria for complete imaging and kinematic data, with post-season evaluations less than six weeks after the end of the season. Head impacts were tracked over the course of the season with helmet-mounted sensors. MEG data underwent source-imaging, frequency-transformation, spectral parameterization, and linear modeling to examine the effects of concussive and non-concussive head impact exposure on pre-to-post-season changes in rhythmic and arrhythmic neurophysiological activity. To determine clinical effects, parent reported Post-Concussive Symptom Inventory scores related to cognitive symptoms were correlated with cortical neurophysiological changes. Multi-atlas data of neurochemical system densities from neuromaps and gene expression from the Allen Human Brain Atlas were examined for alignment with head impact-related alterations in neurophysiology via nonparametric spin-tests with autocorrelation-preserving null models (5,000 Hungarian spins; pFDR <.05). ResultsConcussion-related reductions in cortical excitability (i.e., aperiodic exponent slowing) were aligned with atlas-based norepinephrine transporter (NET) and alpha-4 beta-2 nicotinic receptor (4{beta}2) densities, and with apolipoprotein E (APOE) and brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) expression levels. More severe cognitive symptoms associated with concussion-related slowing of aperiodic neurophysiology were also aligned with atlas-based NET and 4{beta}2 receptor densities. Similar changes in cortical excitability related to non-concussive head impact exposure were colocalized with serotonin receptor (5-HT1A) density maps and APOE and BDNF expression. Rhythmic alpha activity was reduced by concussion and colocalized with histamine (H3) and mu-opioid (MOR) receptors, among others, as well as with gene transcription atlases of APOE and C-C chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5). ConclusionsThese findings extend our previous work to show that the effects of head impact exposure on neurophysiology are strongest in cortical areas with specific neurochemical and genetic profiles that are known to signal vulnerability to traumatic brain injury, and that these spatial alignments are also associated with self-reported symptom severity. Clinical Relevance / ApplicationChange in cortical excitability, as measured here by MEG, has potential value as a clinical tool for concussion diagnosis and prognosis. We provide genetic and neurochemical contextualization for these changes that may extend their clinical applications, for example to concussion risk assessment and pharmacotherapies.

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Microstructural Alterations in White Matter Hyperintensities and Perilesional Normal-Appearing White Matter Assessed by Quantitative Multiparametric Mapping - A BeLOVE Study

Ali, H. F.; Klammer, M. G.; Leutritz, T.; Mekle, R.; Dell'Orco, A.; Hetzer, S.; Weber, J. E.; Ahmadi, M.; Piper, S. K.; Rattan, S.; Schönrath, K.; Rohrpasser-Napierkowski, I.; Weiskopf, N.; Schulz-Menger, J. E.; Hennemuth, A.; Endres, M.; Villringer, K.

2026-04-11 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350576 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Normal appearing white matter (NAWM) may already harbor subtle microstructural alterations not yet visible on conventional MRI. Quantitative Multi-Parametric Mapping (qMPM) such as Magnetization Transfer saturation (MTsat), longitudinal relaxation rate (R1), and Proton Density (PD) offer new possibilities for analyzing NAWM which are sensitive to demyelination, axonal loss, and edema. We aimed to characterize these alterations within white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and the perilesional NAWM (pNAWM), to gain insights into the underlying process of lesion progression. We also investigated their association with cerebrovascular risk factors (CVRF) and long-term cognitive performance. Methods: This investigation included the cerebral MRI data of 245 participants from the prospective Berlin Longterm Observation of Vascular Events (BeLOVE) study. Furthermore, 121 participants cognitive performance was evaluated at baseline and longitudinally at 2 years follow-up using Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Regions of interest (ROIs) of WMH, pNAWM at 1, 2, 3 mm were assessed in comparison to the mirrored contralesional white matter (cWM). Linear mixed effects models were employed to demonstrate the pairwise comparisons between each region using estimated marginal means and the association of MPM metrics with CVRFs. Linear regression was used to assess the association with cognitive performance. Results: In 245 participants, (mean age 62 years, SD: 12 years; 29.8% females), MPM metrics demonstrated a clear spatial gradient of microstructural injury. MTsat and R1 values were lower in WMH compared to cWM (lower case Greek beta = -0.48 (-0.52 - -0.44) and lower case Greek beta = -0.07 (-0.08 - -0.06), p<0.001, respectively) and showed gradual recovery with increasing distance indicating a microstructural gradient in pNAWM. Conversely, PD values were higher in WMH and decreased peripherally (lower case Greek beta = 2.32 (2.05 - 2.61, p<0.001). No substantial associations were found between MPM parameters and CVRFs in our cohort. At baseline and 2-year follow-up, cognitive performance was associated with higher pNAWM R1 values, whereas MTsat were only moderately associated. Discussion: Quantitative MPM reliably detects microstructural alterations not only within WMH, but also in pNAWM, confirming the high sensitivity of qMPM to subtle tissue pathology and support its utility as a promising biomarker for longitudinal studies and monitoring therapeutic effects.

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Persistent Cytotoxic Immune Signaling in Anti-VEGF-Treated Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration

Toral, M. A.; Ng, B.; Velez, G.; Yang, J.; Tsang, S. H.; Bassuk, A. G.; Mahajan, V. B.

2026-04-13 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350115 medRxiv
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PurposeAnti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapy is the standard of care for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD), yet many patients exhibit persistent retinal degeneration, fibrosis, and incomplete therapeutic response. The molecular pathways underlying this incomplete response remain poorly understood. We sought to identify VEGF-independent signaling pathways active in the vitreous of anti-VEGF-treated AMD patients. MethodsWe performed multiplex antibody-based proteomic profiling of 1,000 human proteins in vitreous samples from patients with neovascular AMD receiving anti-VEGF therapy (n=8) and comparative controls (n=6). Differential protein expression was assessed using one-way ANOVA, followed by gene ontology and pathway enrichment analyses. Drug-target relationships were evaluated to identify potential opportunities for therapeutic repositioning. ResultsWe identified 107 differentially expressed proteins (p<0.05), including key regulators of immune signaling, angiogenesis, and metabolism. Notably, multiple components of cytotoxic lymphocyte pathways were dysregulated, including IL-21R, SIGLEC-7, CTLA4, and IL-2-associated signaling. Enrichment analyses revealed significant activation of pathways related to T-cell activation, interleukin signaling, and leukocyte-mediated cytotoxicity. These immune signatures persisted despite suppression of VEGF signaling. Several clinically available immunomodulatory agents--including abatacept, sirolimus, and dupilumab--targeted pathways identified in this dataset. ConclusionsAnti-VEGF-treated neovascular AMD exhibits persistent cytotoxic immune signaling in the vitreous, suggesting that VEGF-independent immune mechanisms may contribute to ongoing retinal damage and incomplete therapeutic response. These findings provide a rationale for combination therapeutic strategies targeting both angiogenic and immune pathways in AMD.

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Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential and Risk of Major Age-Related Eye Diseases

Xie, R.; Schöttker, B.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350756 medRxiv
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ImportanceAge-related eye diseases, such as cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and diabetic retinopathy (DR), are leading causes of irreversible vision loss globally. Chronic inflammation is a shared pathogenic pathway, but the role of systemic inflammatory drivers like clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is unknown. ObjectiveTo investigate the association of CHIP, including its major genetic subtypes and clone sizes, with the risk of four major age-related eye diseases. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis was a prospective cohort study conducted using data from the UK Biobank, a large-scale, population-based cohort. A total of 436,469 participants free of the four eye diseases at baseline were included in the analysis. Data were collected from 2006 to 2010, with follow-up extending to March 2022. ExposuresCHIP status was ascertained from whole-exome sequencing data, defined by the presence of a somatic driver mutation with a variant allele fraction of 2% or greater. Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary outcomes were incident cases of cataract, glaucoma, AMD, and DR, identified through linked electronic health records. Associations were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. ResultsOf 436,469 participants (mean [SD] age, 56.4 [8.1] years; 54.5% women), 14,110 (3.2%) had CHIP. Over a median follow-up of 13.1 years, CHIP was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident cataract (Hazard Ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14), AMD (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.21), and DR (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.20-1.64). No significant association was found with glaucoma (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.99-1.17). The risk for AMD was primarily associated with smaller clones (VAF <10%), while the risk for DR was highest with non-DNMT3A mutations. Systemic inflammation, particularly neutrophil count, partially mediated the associations. Conclusions and RelevanceIn this study, CHIP was independently associated with a higher risk of developing cataract, AMD, and DR, but not glaucoma. These findings establish a link between hematopoietic somatic mutations and the pathogenesis of several major age-related eye diseases, suggesting that CHIP-driven inflammation is a potential target for risk stratification and prevention. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSIs clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) associated with the risk of major age-related eye diseases? FindingsIn this cohort study of 436,469 participants, CHIP was associated with an increased risk of incident cataract (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14), age-related macular degeneration (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.21), and diabetic retinopathy (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.20-1.64), but not glaucoma. MeaningThese findings identify CHIP as an independent, non-ocular risk factor for cataract, AMD, and diabetic retinopathy, suggesting that systemic inflammation driven by CHIP contributes to the pathogenesis of these conditions and may represent a novel target for preventive strategies.

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Preterm delivery and placental pathology with clinical and pathogenic implications

Zhang, P.

2026-04-13 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350526 medRxiv
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BackgroundPreterm birth is one of the most significant etiologies for neonatal morbidity and mortality. Preterm delivery is classified as iatrogenic preterm delivery and spontaneous preterm delivery. The role of placental pathology is studied. Materials and methodsWe have previously collected placental pathology data with maternal pregnancy and neonatal birth data, and we investigated the role of placental pathology in preterm delivery. Preterm delivery was categorized as late preterm (34-36 weeks), moderate preterm (32 to 33 weeks), and extreme preterm (less than 32 weeks). Neonatal, maternal, placental gross and histologic features, and laboratory parameters were compared across groups using chi-square tests for categorical variables and Kruskal-Wallis tests for continuous variables using various programs in R-package. ResultsTotally 3723 singleton placentas including 3307 term (88.8%) and 416 preterm placentas (11.2%) were examined with maternal pregnancy data and neonatal birth data. There were 614 placentas from patients with preeclampsia/pregnancy induced hypertension (PRE/PIH) (16.5%). Preterm delivery showed significantly lower fetal birth weight, placental weight, and fetal-placental ratio (all p<0.01). Maternal Black race was more prevalent in preterm groups (up to 50.8% in extreme preterm vs. 33.2% in term, p<0.01). Preterm delivery was statistically associated with PRE/PIH and maternal vascular malperfusion (MVM), maternal and fetal inflammatory response (MIR and FIR), and increased pre-delivery white blood count (WBC). Extreme preterm deliveries were markedly associated with intrauterine fetal death (27.5%, p<0.01) and MIR/FIR (56.7%, p<0.01). After excluding PRE/PIH patients, preterm delivery was statistically associated with MIR/FIR and increased WBC. ConclusionsDistinct clinicopathologic profiles exist across preterm subcategories, with MVM predominating in late/moderate preterm and severe pathologic features (including fetal demise and acute inflammation) in extreme preterm. These findings highlight heterogeneous etiologies of preterm delivery.

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SARS-CoV-2 Introductions into Lao PDR Revealed by Genomic Surveillance, 2021-2024

Panapruksachat, S.; Troupin, C.; Souksavanh, M.; Keeratipusana, C.; Vongsouvath, M.; Vongphachanh, S.; Vongsouvath, M.; Phommasone, K.; Somlor, S.; Robinson, M. T.; Chookajorn, T.; Kochakarn, T.; Day, N. P.; Mayxay, M.; Letizia, A. G.; Dubot-Peres, A.; Ashley, E. A.; Buchy, P.; Xangsayarath, P.; Batty, E. M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26349480 medRxiv
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We used 2492 whole genome sequences from Laos to investigate the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 from 2021 through 2024, covering the major waves of COVID-19 disease in Laos including time periods of travel restrictions and after relaxation of travel across international borders. We identify successive waves of COVID-19 caused by shifts in the dominant lineage, beginning with the Alpha variant in April 2021 and continuing through the Delta and Omicron variants. We quantify a shift from a small number of viral introductions responsible for widespread transmission in early waves to a larger number of introductions for each variant after travel restrictions were lifted, and identify potential routes of introduction into the country. Our study underscores the importance of genomic surveillance to public health responses to characterize viral transmission dynamics during pandemics.

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Time to diagnosis among children and adolescents with cancer in Quebec, Canada: a population-based study

Mullen, C.; Barr, R. D.; Strumpf, E.; El-Zein, M.; Franco, E. L.; Malagon, T.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350491 medRxiv
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BackgroundTimely cancer diagnosis in children and adolescents is critical to improving outcomes, yet substantial variation in diagnostic intervals persists across cancer types and care settings. We aimed to quantify time to diagnosis and assess variations by patient, demographic, and system-level factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based study of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years diagnosed with one of 12 common cancers between 2010 and 2022 in Quebec, Canada. The diagnostic interval was defined as the time from first cancer-related healthcare encounter to diagnosis. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) overall and by cancer type and used multivariable quantile regression to identify factors associated with time to diagnosis at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. ResultsAmong 2,927 individuals with cancer, diagnostic intervals varied by cancer type and age. Median intervals were longest for carcinomas (100 days; IQR 33-192) and shortest for leukemias (8 days; IQR 3-44). Compared with children living in Montreal, living in regional areas and other large urban centres was associated with longer 50th and 75th percentiles of time to diagnosis for hepatic and central nervous system (CNS) tumours. Diagnostic intervals were shorter in the post-pandemic period (2020-2022) across several cancer sites, with CNS tumours showing reductions across all quantiles. InterpretationDiagnostic timeliness differed by cancer type, age, and rurality, but not by sex, material, or social deprivation. The shorter diagnostic intervals observed in the post-pandemic period suggest that pandemic-related changes in care pathways may have expedited diagnosis for some cancers.

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Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
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ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.

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Wearable-derived physiological features for trans-diagnostic disease comparison and classification in the All of Us longitudinal real-world dataset

Huang, X.; Hsieh, C.; Nguyen, Q.; Renteria, M. E.; Gharahkhani, P.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350352 medRxiv
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Wearable-derived physiological features have been associated with disease risk, but most current studies focus on single conditions, limiting understanding of cross-disease patterns. This study adopts a trans-diagnostic approach to examine whether wearable data capture shared and condition-specific physiological signatures across multiple chronic conditions spanning physical and mental health, and then evaluates the utility of these features for disease classification. A total of 9,301 patients with at least 21 days of consecutive FitBit data from the All of Us Controlled Tier Dataset version 8 were analyzed. Disease subcohorts included cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), major depressive disorder (MDD), anxiety, bipolar disorder, and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), chosen based on prevalence and relevance. Logistic regression and XGBoost models were fitted for each disease subcohort versus the control cohort. We found that compared to using just baseline demographic and lifestyle features, incorporating wearable-derived features enabled improved classification performance in all subcohorts for both models, except for ADHD where improvement was mainly observed for ROC-AUC in logistic regression model likely due to the smaller sample size in ADHD subcohort. The largest performance gains were observed in MDD (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for Logistic regression, 0.071 for XGBoost; p < 0.001) and anxiety (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for logistic regression, 0.108 for XGBoost; p < 0.001). This study provides one of the first comprehensive transdiagnostic evaluations of wearable-derived features for disease classification, highlighting their potential to enhance risk stratification in the real-world setting as a practical complement to clinical assessments and providing a foundation to explore more fine-grained wearable data. Author summaryWearable devices such as fitness trackers and smartwatches are becoming increasingly popular and affordable, providing continuous measurements of heart rate, physical activity, and sleep. Alongside the growing digitization of health records, this creates new opportunities for large-scale, real-world health studies. In this study, we analyzed wearable-derived physiological patterns across a range of chronic conditions spanning both physical and mental health to better understand how these signals relate to disease risk. We found that incorporating wearable-derived heart rate, activity and sleep features improved disease risk classification across several conditions, with particularly strong gains for major depressive disorder and anxiety. By examining how individual features contributed to model predictions, we also identified meaningful associations between physiological signals and disease risk. For example, both duration and day-to-day variation of deep and rapid eye movement (REM) sleep were associated with increased risk in certain conditions. Our study supports the development of real-time, automated tools to assess disease risk alongside clinical care.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

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Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M.; Berrio, J. A.

2026-04-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350369 medRxiv
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BackgroundAccelerometer-derived behavioral phenotype captures multidimensional aspects of human behavior extending well beyond physical activity, encompassing light exposure, step counts, physical activity patterns, sleep, and circadian rhythms. Whether these five domains constitute a unified behavioral architecture underlying cancer risk and whether circadian organization and light exposure confer incremental predictive value beyond movement volume alone remains to be comprehensively established. MethodsWe conducted an accelerometer-wide association study (AWAS) encompassing the complete accelerometer-derived behavioral exposome across five behavioral domains in UK Biobank participants with valid wrist accelerometry data. Incident solid cancers were designated as the primary endpoint, with prespecified site-specific solid cancers and hematological malignancy as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models with age as the timescale were used. The minimal covariate set served as the primary reporting tier, followed by sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for adiposity/metabolic factors, independent activity patterns, shift work history, and accelerometry measurement quality. Nominal statistical significance was defined as two-sided P < 0.05 ResultsAmong 89,080 participants, 6,598 incident solid cancer events were observed over a median follow-up of 8.39 years. In the minimally adjusted model, the pan-solid-tumor association atlas was dominated by signals from activity volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythm. Higher overall acceleration (HR per SD: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.94) and higher daily step counts (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.95) were independently associated with reduced solid cancer risk, while inactivity fragmentation metrics were consistently linked to higher risk. Notably, circadian rhythms, most prominently cosinor mesor (Midline Estimating Statistic of Rhythm under cosinor model), emerged as leading inverse risk signals, underscoring the independent contribution of circadian behavioral architecture. Site-specific analyses revealed pronounced heterogeneity across tumor sites. Lung cancer exhibited a robust inverse activity-risk gradient, while breast cancer showed reproducible associations with MVPA. Most strikingly, nocturnal light exposure demonstrated a tumor-site-specific association confined to pancreatic cancer, a signal absent across all other sites examined. Associations for uterine cancer were predominantly inactivity-related and substantially attenuated following adjustment for adiposity and metabolic factors. ConclusionsAcross five accelerometer-derived behavioral domains, solid cancers as a whole were most consistently associated with a high-movement, low-fragmentation, and circadian-coherent behavioral profile. While site-specific heterogeneity exists, the broad cancer risk landscape is dominated by movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythmicity. Light exposure, although more localized in its contribution, demonstrates a potentially novel and specific association with pancreatic cancer risk. These findings support a five-domain behavioral exposome framework for cancer epidemiology and, importantly, position circadian rhythm integrity and nocturnal light exposure as critically understudied dimensions warranting dedicated mechanistic investigation.

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Sympathetic Innervation Modulates Ventricular Repolarization and Arrhythmia Vulnerability After Myocardial Infarction

Villar-Valero, J.; Nebot, L.; Soto-Iglesias, D.; Falasconi, G.; Berruezo, A.; Boukens, B. J. D.; Trenor, B.; Gomez, J. F.

2026-04-11 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350356 medRxiv
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BackgroundSympathetic modulation via the stellate ganglia is increasingly recognized as a contributor to ventricular arrhythmogenesis after myocardial infarction. However, the mechanisms by which autonomic remodeling interacts with chronic infarct substrates to shape arrhythmic vulnerability remain incompletely understood. ObjectivesTo test the hypothesis that left- and right-sided stellate ganglion-mediated SNS modulation differentially reshapes ventricular arrhythmic vulnerability in chronic post-infarcted substrates, and that the RVI detects changes in vulnerability beyond conventional stimulation-based inducibility. MethodsFourteen patient-specific ventricular models with chronic post-infarcted remodeling were reconstructed from imaging data. A total of 336 simulations were performed under different combinations of stellate ganglion modulation, border zone remodeling, and fibroblast density. Arrhythmic vulnerability was quantified using 3D RVI mapping during paced rhythms and compared with conventional stimulation-based inducibility outcomes. ResultsStellate ganglion modulation induced marked, regionally heterogeneous changes in repolarization timing, resulting in lower and more negative RVI values in vulnerable regions. More negative RVI values reflect increased propensity for wavefront-waveback interaction and reentry initiation. Across the cohort, stellate modulation consistently decreased RVImin, even when inducibility outcomes remained unchanged. These findings indicate that SNS modulation can create a substrate more permissive to reentry independently of whether ventricular arrhythmia is triggered during programmed stimulation. ConclusionsStellate ganglion-mediated sympathetic modulation dynamically reshapes ventricular arrhythmic vulnerability in chronic post-infarcted substrates. RVI provides a spatially resolved, vulnerability-based metric that complements inducibility testing by revealing autonomic-substrate interactions underlying arrhythmogenesis Condensed AbstractSympathetic modulation via the stellate ganglia can alter ventricular repolarization and promote arrhythmogenesis after myocardial infarction, yet clinical responses remain heterogeneous. Using 14 patient-specific post-infarction ventricular models, we simulated left- and right-sided stellate modulation across combinations of border zone remodeling and fibrosis (336 simulations). Stellate modulation induced regionally heterogeneous repolarization shortening and reduced RVI values, even when programmed stimulation inducibility remained unchanged. These findings suggest that RVI captures substrate-level vulnerability beyond binary induction testing and may improve mechanistic assessment of autonomic-substrate interactions in chronic infarct substrates.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350444 medRxiv
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BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.

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T-cell activation and fibroblastic BMP4-Gremlin dysregulation indicate disease severity in acute myocarditis

Joachimbauer, A.; Perez-Shibayama, C. I.; Payne, E.; Hanka, I.; Stadler, R.; Papadopoulou, I.; Rickli, H.; Maeder, M. T.; Borst, O.; Zdanyte, M.; Cooper, L.; Flatz, L.; Matter, C. M.; Wilzeck, V. C.; Manka, R.; Saguner, A. M.; Ruschitzka, F.; Schmidt, D.; Ludewig, B.; Gil-Cruz, C. D. C.

2026-04-11 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350598 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Acute myocarditis (AM) is a T cell-mediated myocardial disease with clinical manifestations ranging from mild chest pain to cardiogenic shock. Reliable biomarkers to stratify patients and guide therapy are currently lacking. In particular, the extent of the dysregulation of inflammatory pathways, and the impact on myocardial dysfunction, remain elusive. Methods: Serum analyses were performed in prospectively recruited AM patients (n = 103) from two independent cohorts. Multimodal data integration combining profiling of cytokine and chemokine dysregulation with clinical biomarkers was used to define clinical phenotypes with distinct inflammatory signatures. Machine-learning and regression models were applied to determine biomarkers that indicate clinical severity. Results: Immuno-proteomic profiling revealed conserved inflammatory patterns across AM cohorts, dominated by T cell-related cytokines and chemokines. In addition, AM patients showed dysregulation of fibroblast-derived cytokines, including hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), bone morphogenic protein 4 (BMP4) and the BMP4 inhibitors Gremlin-1 (GREM1) and Gremlin-2 (GREM2). Data integration and unsupervised clustering revealed two immuno-clinical phenotypes, linking T cell activation and fibroblast dysregulation to disease severity. Machine learning-based analysis identified CXCL10, GREM2 and LVEF as critical parameters for stratifying disease severity. Conclusions: These findings highlight a systemic T cell activation signature as diagnostic hallmark of AM. In addition, dysregulation of fibroblast-derived tissue cytokines serves as an indicator for distinct immuno-clinical phenotypes in myocardial inflammatory disease. Thus, the clinically relevant link between T cell-driven immune activation, myocardial inflammation and fibroblast-driven remodelling provides a versatile set of parameters to identify severe manifestations of AM.

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Planned egg freezing over 15 years: return to treatment and success rates in Australia and New Zealand

Fitzgerald, O.; Keller, E.; Illingworth, P.; Lieberman, D.; Peate, M.; Kotevski, D.; Paul, R.; Rodino, I.; Parle, A.; Hammarberg, K.; Copp, T.; Chambers, G. M.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350362 medRxiv
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Study questionWhat are the characteristics and treatment outcomes of women who undertook planned egg freezing (PEF) in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023? Summary answerThere has been an average yearly increase in the uptake of PEF of 35%, with most women undergoing a single PEF procedure in their mid-thirties. Given ten years follow-up a little over one in four women return, with nearly half of those using donor sperm and one-third achieving a live birth. What is known alreadyPEF, where women freeze their eggs as a strategy to preserve fertility, has increased dramatically in high income countries in the last decade. Despite the rapid uptake of PEF, there remains limited information to guide women, clinicians and policy makers regarding the characteristics of women undertaking this procedure and treatment outcomes. Study design, size, durationA retrospective population-based cohort study of all women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023, including their subsequent return to thaw their eggs and treatment outcomes. Where women returned to utilise their eggs, all subsequent embryo transfer procedures were linked enabling calculation of live birth rates per woman. Participants/materials, setting, methods20,209 women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023 including 1,657 women who returned to thaw their eggs. Main results and the role of chanceThere has been a huge increase in uptake of PEF, from 55 women in 2009 to 4,919 in 2023. Women who freeze their eggs are typically aged 34-38 years (interquartile range) and nulliparous (98.6%). For women with at least 10 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-13; N=514), 27.9% returned and thawed their frozen eggs (average time to return: 4.9 years). This reduced to 22.1% in those with at least 5 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-2018; N=4,288). Of those who used their frozen eggs, 47% used donor sperm. After at least two years follow up, 33.9% had a live birth, rising over time to 37.8% for eggs thawed between 2019-2021. Limitations, reasons for cautionIn the timeframe 2009-2019 we did not have information on whether egg freezing occurred because of a cancer diagnosis, a cohort we wished to exclude from the study. As a result, for this timeframe we weighted observations by the probability that egg freezing occurred due to cancer, with the prediction model developed on the years 2020-2023. Wider implications of the findingsThis study provides recent and comprehensive data on PEF to guide prospective patients and clinicians and inform policy. The exponential growth in PEF in Australia and New Zealand mirrors trends in other high-income countries, suggesting a doubling time of 2-3 years. Study findings highlight the need for setting realistic expectations about the likelihood of returning to use frozen eggs and live birth rates. Study funding/competing interest(s)2020-2025 MRFF Emerging Priorities and Consumer Driven Research initiative: EPCD000014

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Childhood cancer in singletons conceived via medically assisted reproduction in Australia: a population-based cohort study

Walker, A. R.; Vajdic, C. M.; Anazodo, A. C.; Hacker, N. F.; Opdahl, S.; Chapman, M.; Sansom-Daly, U. M.; Jorm, L.; Norman, R. J.; Stern, C.; Chambers, G. M.; Venetis, C.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350447 medRxiv
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1.Study questionDo singletons conceived by medically assisted reproduction (MAR) experience an elevated incidence of childhood cancers and are they at a greater risk of such cancers compared to naturally-conceived singletons? Summary answerWe found no strong evidence the adjusted risk of childhood cancers is increased for MAR-conceived singletons. What is known alreadyThere is longstanding concern children conceived via MAR may be at increased risk of childhood cancer. Current epidemiological evidence does not support such a relationship. Study design, size, durationWe conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study of 5,104,121 singletons born in Australia between 1991 and 2019. Median follow-up time varied from 4 to 10 years depending on mode of conception. Participants/materials, setting, methodsWe linked birth records to public medical insurance data of the mother to ascertain MAR conception. We classified treatment as ovulation induction/intrauterine insemination (OI/IUI) or assisted reproductive technology (ART; IVF/ICSI), with ART coded as either fresh embryo transfer or frozen embryo transfer. The cohort included 4,924,354 naturally-conceived singletons and 179,767 singletons conceived via MAR. We calculated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) to ascertain differences in population incidence of childhood cancer, and generated hazard ratios (HRs) using flexible parametric survival models controlling for key confounders. We report absolute incidence and risk differences for both statistical approaches. Main results and the role of chanceThere was no increase in the incidence or risk of all childhood cancers combined for singletons conceived via MAR, either any MAR or specific MAR types. There was some evidence the incidence of leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases was increased after ART compared to the general population (SIR: 1.32, 95% CI 1.02-1.68; equating to 2.09, 95% CI 0.13-4.44 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), but no increased risk after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.73-1.46). These cancers showed increased incidence and risk for those conceived via IVF (SIR: 1.54, 95% CI 1.01-2.26; HR: 1.77, 95% CI 1.06-2.95), but not ICSI (SIR: 1.27, 95% CI 0.83-1.85; HR: 0.76, 95% CI 0.48-1.22). Incidence of renal tumours was elevated after IVF (SIR: 2.37, 95% CI 1.02-4.67; equating to 1.83, 95% CI 0.03-3.99 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years) and frozen transfer ART (SIR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.09-4.97; equating to 2.12, 95%CI 0.12-5.53 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), however risk was not elevated after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.06, 95% CI 0.47-2.38; and HR: 1.63, 95% CI 0.73-3.61 respectively). Limitations, reasons for cautionWe did not have information on parental cause of infertility, which could be a confounder for childhood cancer, although we did adjust for parental history of cancer. For many specific cancer types, fewer than 50 cases were observed in total. Given the number of comparisons reported and closeness of the lower-bound confidence interval to 1, we cannot exclude that a significant association between conception via IVF and leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases reflects a type I error. Wider implications of the findingsOur findings align generally with published meta-analyses on the risk of childhood cancers following MAR conception and reinforce the need for very large studies to increase confidence. Parents who have conceived via MAR and their offspring can be reassured there is not strong evidence the treatments increase the overall incidence or risk of childhood cancer. Study funding/competing interest(s)This work was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC: APP1164852). Dr ARW declares that their involvement in this work was supported by employment at UNSW Sydney. Prof CMV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof NH declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); royalties and licenses for Berek and Hackets Gynecologic Oncology (Walters Kluwer); royalties and licenses for Hacker and Moores Essentials of Obstetrics and Gynecology (Elsevier); consulting fees from Darwin Hospital and Gold Coast University Hospital; support for attending the British Gynaecological Cancer Society meeting in Aberdeen, UK, Jun 2023; support for attending the Symposium on Gynaecological Cancer in Budapest, Hungary, Nov 2023; support for attending the International conference of the Rajiv Gandhi Cancer Centre in Delhi, India, Mar 2025; and membership of the Medical Advisory Committee for TruScreen (Australia and New Zealand). A/Prof SO declares that they received payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); they received a grant from the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology (Open call 2022) including payment to their institution; and that they are a member of the Advisory Board of the Cervical Screening Program in Norway through The Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH), for which they were reimbursed travel expenses to their institution. Prof MC declares support for Theramex European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology registration and Fertility Society of Australia and New Zealand registration and accommodation. A/Prof USD declares that her involvement in this work was supported via an Early Career Fellowship from the Cancer Institute NSW (ID: 2020/ECF1163) and employment at UNSW Sydney. A/Prof USD also declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2035240) and the Medical Research Future Fund (APP2032214; APP2038377), and the Australian Research Council (DP240100072) as well as current grants from NSW Health, Prince of Wales Hospital Foundation, and unpaid involvement as an Associate Editor for the "Journal of Psycho-Oncology Research and Practice". Prof LJ declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof RJN declares they are the Chair of the Clinical Advisory Committee, Westmead Fertility; External mentor at VinMec hospital; Editorial Editor at the journal "Fertility and Sterility"; and has received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) for the NHMRC Centre for Research Excellence in Womens Health in Reproductive Life (CRE WHiRL). A/Prof CS declares stock or stock options associated with CSL Ltd, Sigma Healthcare Ltd, Resmed Inc, Medical Developments International Ltd, Vitrafy Life Sciences Ltd, Intuitive Surgical, and Steris PLC. Prof GMC declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof CV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); research grants receive from Merck KGaA and Ferring; payments for honoraria from Merk Ltd, Merk Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter for being an invited lecturer in scientific meetings/conferences on multiple occasions as well as member of advisory boards for these companies who have a commercial portfolio in the field of assisted reproduction technology (ART); and speaking fees from IBSA, Vianex, Sonapharm; travel support for their participation in scientific meetings/conferences both nationally and internationally, usually as an invited speaker for the following companies - Merck Ltd, Merck Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter; unpaid involvement as a Board member of the Hellenic Society of Fertility and Sterility, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Human Reproduction", Senior Deputy of the Coordination Committee of the Special Interest Group "Reproductive Endocrinology" of the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "F&S Reviews", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "RBM Online", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Biology & Endocrinology", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Frontiers in Endocrinology", and Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Sciences". SubjectReproductive epidemiology

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VAE (Variational Autoencoder) Based Gastrotype Identification and Predictive Diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori Infection

Ma, Z.; Qiao, Y.

2026-04-13 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350690 medRxiv
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Background: The enterotype concept proposed that gut microbiomes cluster into discrete types, but subsequent critiques demonstrated that such clustering depends on methodological choices, that the number of clusters is not fixed, and that faecal samples cannot capture spatial heterogeneity along the gastrointestinal tract. The stomach remains particularly understudied, and no systematic classification exists for gastric microbial community types. Methods: We assembled a multi-cohort dataset of 566 gastric mucosal samples spanning healthy controls to gastric cancer, with both Helicobacter pylori (HP)-negative and HP-positive individuals. Critically, we applied the key methodological lessons of the enterotype debate: we used a variational autoencoder (VAE) for dimensionality reduction to learn a continuous latent representation without forcing discrete structure, determined the optimal number of clusters using the Silhouette index (an absolute validation measure) across K=2 to K=10 rather than arbitrarily selecting a cluster number, and performed transparent evaluation of multiple clustering solutions. This VAE-plus-silhouette workflow directly addresses the critiques leveled against the original enterotype analysis. Results: Four gastotypes were identified, with K=4 achieving the highest mean silhouette score, indicating good cluster cohesion and separation. Two gastotypes (Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type) were significantly enriched in HP-positive samples, while two gastotypes (Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type) were significantly enriched in HP-negative samples. Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieved excellent baseline performance for predicting HP infection (AUC = 0.990 and 0.993). Conclusions: The VAE-plus-silhouette workflow provides a robust, data-driven approach for identifying gastotypes without forcing discrete structure or arbitrarily fixing cluster numbers. Using this framework, we identified four gastotypes with significantly different HP infection rates. Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type showed strong HP-positive enrichment, while Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type showed strong HP-negative enrichment. These findings demonstrate that methodological advances from the enterotype controversy can be successfully transferred to the stomach, offering a reproducible taxonomy for stratifying HP infection status with potential clinical utility.

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A Multi-Cohort Study of Immunoglobulin G Glycans in Newly Diagnosed Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients Reveals Accelerated Biological Aging

Flevaris, K.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; Goh, D.; Lalli, J. S.; Vuckovic, F.; Capin Vilaj, M.; Stambuk, J.; Kristic, J.; Mijakovac, A.; Ventham, N.; Kalla, R.; Latiano, A.; Manetti, N.; Li, D.; McGovern, D. P. B.; Kennedy, N. A.; Annese, V.; Lauc, G.; Satsangi, J.; Kontoravdi, C.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26349930 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Alterations in immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation are implicated in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the robustness of IgG glycan signatures across IBD cohorts with diverse demographics and geographic origins remains underexplored. We aimed to determine whether compositional data analysis (CoDA) and machine learning (ML) can identify IBD-related IgG N-glycan signatures and whether these signatures capture disease-associated acceleration of biological aging. Methods: We analyzed the IgG glycome profiles of 1,367 plasma samples collected from healthy controls (HC), symptomatic controls (SC), and people with newly diagnosed Crohn's (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) across four cohorts (UK, Italy, United States, and Netherlands). IgG glycosylation was analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography, yielding 24 total-area-normalized glycan peaks (GPs). Analyses were performed using cross-sectional data obtained at baseline. CoDA-powered association analyses were used to identify disease-related effects on GPs while controlling for demographic covariates. ML models were trained and evaluated to assess generalizability to unseen cohorts and demographic subgroups, with a focus on discrimination and reliability. Results: Across all cohorts, people with IBD demonstrated accelerated biological aging as quantified by the GlycanAge index. This was accompanied by consistent reductions in IgG galactosylation, with effects partially modulated by age. Classification models trained on glycomics and demographics achieved robust discrimination (AUROC~0.80) between non-IBD (HC+SC) and IBD across cohorts. Conclusion: These findings reveal accelerated biological aging in people with IBD and support the translational potential of IgG glycans as biomarkers and a novel route toward clinically interpretable personalized risk estimates.

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Challenging the guidelines: Longitudinal Trends in Left Ventricular Diameter and Function in Severe Aortic Regurgitation

Schwartzenberg, S.; Berkovitz, A.; Lerman, T. T.; Bental, T.; Vaturi, M.; Goldberg, Y.; Shapira, Y.

2026-04-11 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350549 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (AR) based on progressive changes in left ventricular (LV) function or size. We aimed to reassess the clinical relevance of current guideline recommendations pertaining to traditional echocardiographic measurements in routine practice. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients with severe AR who underwent serial echocardiographic follow-up over at least 18 months. The composite outcome was symptom-driven AVR, acute heart failure hospitalization, or death. We used a joint modelling approach to handle within-subject correlation and censoring. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 140 patients, with a median follow?up of 93 months (interquartile range 58?130). LV end-systolic (LVESD) and fractional shortening (FS) showed a small but statistically significant longitudinal trend, while LVEDD did not. Changes in all three parameters in parallel joint models adjusted for age and gender were consistently associated with increased risk of the composite event. Each 1?mm increase in LVESD and LVEDD was associated with a 6% and 5% increase in risk, respectively; each 1% decrease in FS corresponded to a 12% increase in risk. Only 8 (5.7%) of patients were predicted to exceed the guideline-recommended LVEDD threshold of 65 mm over 10 years. Age at onset was also a significant risk factor, with each decade increasing risk by 65% for each of the three parallel joint models. CONCLUSIONS: LV parameters show modest changes over time, despite holding strong prognostic value in patients with severe AR. LVEDD, while associated with overall risk, does not predictably or significantly dilate over time in most patients. AVR decisions should be based on comprehensive clinical and volumetric assessment rather than waiting for simple linear progression to guideline cutoffs.